Permutation Feature Importance Doesn't Make Sense

It gives arbitrary results when faced with dependent data

July 12, 2026

Neural Bradley Terry Models

I've got a fever! And the only prescription... is more neural networks.

July 2, 2026

Non-Transitive Bradley Terry Models

One thing that has always bugged me about Bradley Terry models is that it can’t model rock-paper-scissors. Let’s see if we can fix that!

June 17, 2026

Fun with Player Ratings

How to tell who’s the best player?

June 12, 2026

LLM AB Tests

Why get many samples when LLM do trick

May 19, 2026

Solving Pipes Puzzles with Constraint Propagation

I solve my guilty pleasure puzzle using Julia

March 26, 2026

Estimating Prevalence using Imperfect Classifiers

How to correct prevalence estimates using PPI

September 8, 2025

Well-calibrated predictions are not enough

Calibration is an important idea in statistical prediction. However, it’s not the only thing.

August 21, 2018

Diagnosing Bad Hypothesis Tests

I find a strange plot of p-values from a hypothesis test and investigate.

June 18, 2017

The Fastest Poisson(1) in the West

How quickly can I generate a Poisson(1) random variable?

July 28, 2016